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S30075e Third Generation Trans-Pennine South Regional Traffic Model Build

National Highways Limited

Awarded
services
SME-friendly
VCSE-friendly

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Key details

Contracting authority
Region
Birmingham
Contract value
£700,000ex VAT
Submissions closed
26 March 2026
Published
25 May 2026

Procurement

Contract period
22 May 2026 - 31 March 2028
2 years
Procedure type
Call-off from a framework agreement
CPV classifications
  • 73220000 Development consultancy services

What happened

National Highways Limited awarded this contract to Ove Arup worth £560,000 on 22 May 2026. The contract runs until 31 Mar 2028.

Description

In brief, this project seeks to update the TPSRTM2 model to a new baseline of 2025 and provide a new set of forecasts. The baseline will reflect post-COVID travel conditions which will then be carried through into the forecasts. The refreshed models will then provide a better evidential basis to support their existing use cases, as well as new and emerging use cases, as detailed in Section 110.

The models are required to be developed as far as is practicable in accordance with the guidance contained in TAG. The models should be calibrated and validated in line with the criteria developed for the second RTMs, with the intention to equal or improve on the second generation RTMs' calibration and validation performance.

While delivering the service, the Consultant will:

  • Lead upon the Network Technical Consistency Group. The main activities in the Network TCG will be ensuring a consistent approach to reviewing and updating networks is adopted by each RTM.
  • Lead upon the Forecasting Technical Consistency Group. The main activities under the End User TCG will be to agree upon the forecasting methodology utilised in RTM3 and ensuring a consistent approach to realism testing.
  • Input into the other Technical Consistency Groups led by other RTM3 model developers, providing critical challenge and following agreed upon methods.
  • Update the TPSRTM model networks in alignment with the advice set out by the Network TCG.
  • Update the TPSRTM forecasts in alignment with the advice set out by the Forecasting TCG.
  • Provide TPSRTM3 Handover Packages, including the final calibrated and validated models, as agreed in the End User TCG.

While delivering the service, the Consultant must provide the following deliverables:

  • A Transport Data Package report detailing the data used in the build and calibration/validation of the model, and the relative robustness of these datasets.
  • A Model Development Report which details the methods utilised to update the models. The Model Development Report should be akin to a Transport Model Package report.
  • A Forecasting Report which details the methods utilised to update the forecasts. A Forecasting Report should be akin to a Transport Forecasting Package report.
  • The End-user Handover Packages, which contains any relevant data analysis / modelling files relevant for end-users of the model needed for the use cases identified above, as specified by the End User Technical Consistency Group.
  • A National Highways Handover Package which contains any relevant handover files used by the Consultant in the development of the model, which do not end up in the End User Handover Packages.

Awarded supplier

Supplier
Ove Arup
Award value
£560,000
Award date
22 May 2026

Contact

Address
Three Snowhill, Birmingham, B4 6GA
Contact name
National Highways

Identifiers

Buyer reference
tender_521088/1579389
Notice ID
aeb9d0bf-6e3e-460a-bca4-bcb10f1095df-899079
OCID
ocds-b5fd17-0ee500c3-008c-4343-a01f-cbdc75fe55d4

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External ID: cf-ocds-b5fd17-0ee500c3-008c-4343-a01f-cbdc75fe55d4 • Added 25 May 2026